But the race is Margulies’ and Sedgwick’s to lose, so let’s analyze why Margulies lost in 2010. “Basically, Julianna Margulies blew it last year by giving Emmy judges the wrong episode,” Emmyologist Tom O’Neil of GoldDerby tells THR. “She submitted ‘Threesome,’ in which she has a nice little confrontation with her cheating hubby, but she might have won if she’d submitted the pilot, a much stronger episode.”

“Boomer [pundit Chris "Boomer" Beachum] and I made a boneheaded call thinking Margulies might somehow surmount this poor submission and win,” adds O’Neil. “We knew that Sedgwick had the episode submission with the most emotional fireworks, but Margulies had swept the precursor awards.” This year, Margulies won SAG, which nommed Sedgwick, and Globes gave both actresses noms, not wins.

Sedgwick’s Emmy-winning episode out-cried her rival’s. “Well, it was kind of an obvious choice,” Sedgwick tells THR.

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